Trade Chess With China

Indulge me if you will, and read the article at the end of this link:
Trade Chess With China

Sundance runs a good site and is one of the few who have followed the economics and strategy game afoot.

Please remember, Trump is playing against the Chinese ‘One Belt, One Road” empire plan, the short term players in the west I call the Global Grifters and the entire entrenched political establishment. It amazes me he has gotten this far.

While we can fret about the staffing of questionable holdovers in many agencies, his trade team is top notch and having way too much fun. I do believe that has always been his main game.

It is nothing less than changing the entire flow of world civilization at stake. Can one man make that much of a difference?

He will have no similar successor, but if he can move the momentum to economic nationalism and true fair trade , he may make successors have no choice.

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Author: TKC 1101

Unintentional Man of Mystery. - Curmudgeon, Reserve Status - Heinlien American - Business Advice and Salvage - Proud Grandfather-

7 thoughts on “Trade Chess With China”

  1. TKC 1101:He will have no similar successor, but if he can move the momentum to economic nationalism and true fair trade, he may make successors have no choice.

    I hope that is the case, but I’m extremely worried that Trump’s successors (it doesn’t matter if they’re Republican or Democrat) will undo all the good that Trump has accomplished. As you indicated, the question is whether Trump can make deep enough and significant enough changes to our government and institutions (e.g. media, education, industry) so that his policies are self-sustaining—no small task. We all know that China takes the long view and they’re betting that Trump is just an unexpected bump on the road in their quest for global dominace. If China is engaged in a “100 Year Marathon” (and I believe that they are), what difference would a setback of, say, a decade or two make? Not much. There are so many variables involved that it is impossible to predict how this will all play out—only time will tell. But for now, I’m absolutely thrilled that we have a leader who “gets it” and is pushing back against the Chinese. I shutter to think where we’d be right now if Trump wasn’t president.

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  2. It is a true delight to have a pro-America president.

    I saw Taiwanese firms making similar pledges as these announcements from the Japanese.

    Winning is good.

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  3. Nintendo has reportedly begun producing two new variants of its Switch console, and at least some of them are being manufactured outside of China in order to evade new tariffs on US imports. The Wall Street Journal reportsthat sources within Nintendo’s supply chain have confirmed the movement of production to Southeast Asia, and that the company aims to produce enough consoles to fulfill demand in the US.  …

    The Japanese video game giant is just the latest in a string of companies reportedly moving production out of China in light of the US-China trade war. Late last year, GoProannounced its intentions to move its US-bound camera production out of China, and now Google is reportedly doing the same for its Nest products. Yesterday iPhone manufacturer Foxconn said that it has enough production capacity outside of China to be able to handle manufacturing of all US-bound iPhones should Apple require it.

    https://www.theverge.com/2019/6/12/18662508/nintendo-switch-new-models-china-manufacturing-trade-war

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  4. Black Prince:
    I’m extremely worried that Trump’s successors (it doesn’t matter if they’re Republican or Democrat) will undo all the good that Trump has accomplished.

    We can only hope that the realignment will be awkward to undo. There will be beneficiaries of the new order who will lobby Congress to preserve their gains. There’s no guarantee but there is cause for hope.

    Black Prince:
    If China is engaged in a “100 Year Marathon” (and I believe that they are), what difference would a setback of, say, a decade or two make?

    China may be engaged in a marathon but a lot of things can happen in a decade or two that may produce a few bumps in the road for China, especially if high economic expectations are dashed by a slow- or no-growth economy. The stability of the regime requires that the newly-empowered class of urban Chinese be kept happy. It’s not 1989 anymore and Tiananmen Square would play out very differently this time around.

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  5. Black Prince:
    If China is engaged in a “100 Year Marathon” (and I believe that they are), what difference would a setback of, say, a decade or two make? Not much. There are so many variables involved that it is impossible to predict how this will all play out—only time will tell.

    Similar observations were made in 1981 by Smart People who wanted to dissuade R. Reagan from a provocative buildup of American weapons.   Then, before a decade passed the USSR went bankrupt from trying to keep up.

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  6. MJBubba:

    Black Prince:
    If China is engaged in a “100 Year Marathon” (and I believe that they are), what difference would a setback of, say, a decade or two make? Not much. There are so many variables involved that it is impossible to predict how this will all play out—only time will tell.

    Similar observations were made in 1981 by Smart People who wanted to dissuade R. Reagan from a provocative buildup of American weapons.   Then, before a decade passed the USSR went bankrupt from trying to keep up.

    Even more recently, and more relevant geographically, we were warned that Japan was going to take over the world economically because… reasons. In the late 1980s, someone actually said to me “Soon the yen will be trading at 1:1 with the dollar.” Granted, that was hyperbole but it’s still roughly 100 yen to the dollar just like it was in the late 1980s.

    Paraphrasing Twain, the reports of the death of the US economy are greatly exaggerated.

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