It seems to me that a necessary prerequisite for any government that intends to survive is that it must defend its territory and its citizens from violent aggression. Failure to do so will eventually lead that citizenry to abandon it and seek survival elsewhere. In that context I think the present American regime cannot and will not survive, although I decline to predict the exact method of its demise.
- Parkland. This obviously was a failure of astonishing dimensions, on a local scale. The authorities were warned, repeatedly, and failed to act.
- MS-13. This is another astonishing failure, on a national scale. That a violent Central American gang has managed to establish itself inside the United States is- well, astonishing.
- North Korea. That this starving Cold War relic is now a nuclear power threatening the survival of the United States is yet another astonishing failure, on an international scale.
The common thread in all these examples is that the present regime failed to defend the American people from threats despite knowing all about them.
The regime was warned about the Parkland shooter dozens of times, yet did nothing. All too typically, the armed coward in the employ of the local sheriff- who abandoned those students to be murdered- is now guarded by armed deputies, while that same sheriff condemns the NRA for his own incompetence. That is, the regime protects its minions regardless of their failure.
MS-13 has been making headlines for years but until Trump the regime made zero response. The blindingly obvious response to this foreign gang is to secure the border and remove or imprison foreigners caught illegally inside the United States. Yet the regime has famously been unwilling to do so, despite endless complaints from the American public.
North Korea has had a nuclear program for decades, but nothing was done because it was easier to pay tribute (Bush) or pretend a figleaf agreement had ended it (Clinton). Now we get to worry that an EMP will destroy our electrical grid, while China shrugs and declares that it had nothing to do with it, despite their subsidies keeping the Norks afloat since at least since the USSR collapsed.
I humbly submit that this isn’t what success looks like, which should be obvious. There is no rational reason why the US government cannot have prevented the Parkland massacre, the infiltration of MS-13, or the Nork nuke program.
I also submit that this is also why the regime will not be able to disarm the American people. No one believes the regime is able to provide safety or security even inside the United States, and thus any gun confiscation would be ignored, not enforced depending upon jurisdiction, or resisted violently. Either this present feeble regime will cease to exist, or the United States will.
The Trump presidency may be either the beginning of a new effective regime, or the death rattle of the old. Time will tell.
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